Anders Lindh on: Where mobile innovation should be heading

Anders has been running a successful mobile marketing company for over 5 years, so I listen to what he has to say.

In addition to what he says below, I think it’s interesting that with all his experience in mobile marketing, he still says that we should forget trying to monetize our mobile services with advertisements. While I am not too sure of that using the in-built mobile billing mechanisms is the only way to go (or that it is easy), I do agree that in the mobile world, you need to cut down to that part that folks would pay for. And of course, that part is where ‘the real world and the benefits of mobility meet.’

Link: the mobile experience � Blog Archive � Where mobile innovation should be heading.

The challenges in service innovation will all be about relevance and context. Sure, social bookmarking is a great thing on my desktop, but its not a killer mobile service. Google does a great job in finding millions on entries for some particular query, but in a mobile context I’m interested in one often very specific answer. Online maps and real-world-service-location become interesting only when my actual physical location is taken into account, even when moving around at greater speeds. I prefer to write blog entries from my desktop, but reading them while on the move will become more common. This leads to a great dependance on relevance, as the small screen greatly puts a limit on the amount of information that I want to be exposed to.

Kelly on: integrated mobile research & testing

Kelly has written a nice (long) essay on context, user testing, and ethnographic research used in building great products based on understanding the user.

Link: integrated mobile research & testing | gotomobile.

For best results, the user-centered approach employs not just traditional marketing research techniques, but also contextual inquiry, or methods that involve asking questions and observing within the subject’s own context.

Sippey’s back of the envelope calculations on ad-supported services

Sippey (from Six Apart) was inspired by Kotke’s comments (links in post) regarding  ad-supported vs. sponsor-supported services.

Sippey then makes a very lucid thought experiment that drives home the it ain’t easy to support a service with ad revenue alone. And, to make it even more interesting, the math is set up to calculate $40k or revenue, which is not really any revenue to speak of for any business.

Oh, and Sippey is talking about a PC browser-based world. Fuggedaboudit, if you are thinking of click-ad-supported mobile services.

Link: this is sippey.typepad.com: back of the envelope.

OK, here comes the hard part.  Math!  $40,000 at $1.75 per 1,000 page views means that you’ll have to do north of 22.8 million page views in the year, or 1.9 million monthly, or approximately 64,000 a day.  Think you have it in you?

It doesn’t take a math genius (like me!) to know that this calculation is highly influenced by the eCPM you think you could earn; if you think I’m off, post your calculation in the comments.

David Harper on: An Open Letter to Google: “Page adapted for mobile phone?” Please stop now, you are crippling sites, not adapting pages.

There has been some angry buzz around Google’s wanton transcoding of web pages. This was inevitable, since transcoding by nature rewrites pages for mobiles.

One thing that I think all transcoders (and some that lightly transcode RSS <wink>) are missing is that they strip out all images and sometimes even links (or like Google, replaces links with proxy links) without the users knowing or allowing the user to access the removed items. I think a generous tweak of the browsing UI could do much to help this issue.

As for the real munging of sites, that will always be the case with transcoding. But, as David says, a bit of device detection and a clever proxy will redirect to sites that already have mobile-friendly versions.

Link: Different Things � Blog Archive � An Open Letter to Google: “Page adapted for mobile phone?” Please stop now, you are crippling sites, not adapting pages..

From my perspective, the issue is not that Google unilaterally strips away eye candy only to deliver a hodgepodge of text on mobile devices. It is that you remove user access to mobile-specific services on which ours and many other businesses are based. By default, your actions censor those of us who provide a unique and/or useful mobile experience.

How big can your mobile portal be?

MMetrics released a while back some stats on some of the larger mobile portals. I think it sets an upper limit anyone can expect when launching a mobile service.

Look at the number of folks visiting Yahoo. Do you think you can do better?

But there are some other interesting tid-bits in the number. Only 33% have sent or received a text message. What? How come? Yet, 10% have received info via browser. Heck, relative to SMS, I think that speaks well of browsing. It suggests to me that it is not cost or UI that keep people from using SMS, but habit.

So, going back to the portal numbers, if this is just browsing, what would happen if we brought in communication and sharing, something like WINKsite? Maybe tapping into the browsing habit and then modifying that to include sharing and communication would be the way to grow, rather than dumping SMS as a separate thing. Then, you might be able to grow a good-sized service.

Hmm.

Link: M:Metrics News.

M:Metrics, the mobile market authority, has found that Yahoo! is the most popular mobile content brand. During the quarter ended December 2005 12.8 million U.S. mobile subscribers accessed Yahoo’s services in an average month – 4 million more than second-place AOL. MSN and Google follow, with about 7 million subscribers accessing their mobile offerings each month during the fourth quarter.

Mea culpa and station identification

As with all single-person publications, there comes a time when that single person needs to set priorities that impact the publication.

I’ve been traveling in the US these past two weeks and was in no position to post anything. Oh, I had a bunch lined up, but couldn’t enter them before I took off.* Also, I really haven’t been able to keep up with news or correspondence, so you’ll see some comments to stuff from two weeks ago.

So, no, I am not dead. Nor am I overloaded with interesting stuff due to 3GSM, CTIA, or CeBIT (though most of you are). And, yes, I am still at Nokia, but not doing anything I can write about.

And, yes, this is still my site to talk about mobile stuff – the innovations, strategies, and narratives around doing things in the mobile world. And my main interest is still the fusion of mobile, PC, and Web and how it is changing the way we communicate and create.

We now resume our regularly scheduled programming. 🙂

*Tip: Work up a queue of articles and set them to go live while you are away. Yes, I do that when I can (I’m an old hat at this, y’see).

derrickrabble on: Six Apart Acquires SplashBlog?

Curious, indeed. Looking forward to learning more from John. I’ve been observing this development all day – Finnish time, mind you, so long before Derrick woke up.

In any case, I’ve already sent my congratulations to John. He’s got experience making mobile apps for different platforms, dealing with manufacturers and operators, and has experience integrating mobile apps to online publishing platforms (what’s left?). And if Six Apart has brought on more than John, such as the whole SplashBlog team and platform, then more power to them.

In any case, it brings Six Apart up to date with their own portfolio of mobile apps. Sure beats starting from scratch.

Great move for Six Apart. I just love the way they grow.

Link: derrickrabble: Six Apart Acquires SplashBlog?.

Six Apart Acquires SplashBlog?
I got an email earlier today via Plaxo telling me that John Chaffe from SplashData makers of Splash Blog was the new director of mobile at Six Apart. I thought, hmm, that’s curious, I don’t recall any news about Splash Blog recently. So I cruised over the the About Us page on Splash Data and noticed that John, who I believe was the CEO isn’t on the list. I then clicked on the Splash Blog page and saw this and the mysterious Six Apart logo on the right side. Must be a recent unannounced acquisition by Six Apart.