Molecularist

Nokia (my current employer) hold an annual investors day in New York called Capital Market Days. It is here than Nokia recaps their year and lays out forecasts for the next. As usual, there are some interesting stats (link below).

Let’s start with these:

Nokia estimates the mobile device market to grow more than 10% from the estimated 780 million for this year (that’s over 2 million a day!). Also, mobile subscriptions will pass 3 billion in 2008 (two years earlier than previous estimates).

I am pretty sure that most of that growth is in BRIC – Brasil, Russia, India, and China. How are you preparing for this amazing growth in the emergin market, where most folks will never have a computer, or a credit card, or even steady power? Yahoo, Google, Microsoft – are you ready? Or are you still preacihng to your current base?

Thanks to Chris, emrging markets have been have been indelibly etched upon my mind.

More interesting stats:
– Nokia will reduce R&D expenditure accross the board. Hmm, what does that mean for innovation at Nokia?
– Nokia has launched a wopping 56 devices this year. Wow!

Link: Nokia – Nokia Capital Market Days 2005: Nokia defines strategy and targets for continued profitable growth – Press Releases – Press – About Nokia.

At the annual Nokia Capital Market Days in New York, Nokia presented its expectations for overall industry developments and set out its targets for the next one to two years.

Nokia recently published some figures related to Java on mobiles. It’s amazing that something so simple can generate so much revenue. My feeling is that it’s still around games and very much at the head of the long tail (a few companies make the bulk of the money).

When thinking of mobile Java, keep in mind Trip Hawkins (of Electronic Arts
fame) and his Digital Chocolate company (which bought out Finland’s
Sumea a while back). Keep also in mind Electronic Arts’ recent purchase
of Jamdat. Consolidation, indeed.

Is there room for the little guy – yes! But, you need to be clever
in distribution and marketing to reach the numbers you need to make a
profit.

Here’s some things I clipped (verbatim) off of Forum Nokia (emphasis, mine). Also, below I’ve place a link to a page full of interesting stats.

– Nokia forecasts
that developer revenue from mobile Java applications on Nokia devices
will reach 340 million euros this year (2005).
– More than 180 operators are now deploying Java services.
– 708 million mobile Java devices had shipped as of June.
– 635 models of mobile Java devices are offered.
– 32 mobile device vendors use Java technology.
– More than 45,000 Java applications are on the market.
– Approximately 23 million mobile Java downloads have been performed each month this year.
– Nokia estimates that by the end of 2005 they will have cumulatively shipped more than 300 million devices based on platforms for app development (I suppose that encompasses Series 40, Series 60, and Series 80).
– More than 110 Nokia platform devices have been launched, of which more than 50 are Java MIDP 2.0 devices.

Link: Nokia – Wide Market Potential – Why Nokia? – Developers.

Freegorifero always has great design ideas, especially around mobile. In this article, he notes that context is usually about some use case and not something in relation to how specific people would use something (for example, think of context of a ramp for handicap or someone with a stroller, instead of just the ramp).

Read this and more at the link below.

Link: f r e e g o r i f e r o | weblog.

It is about time that we start to relate to the interface not anymore as the layer between us and our devices, but between us and the world surrounding us, both the world of space/time and the world of relationships.