Tired words: Online

My struggle here is the definition of this word. Too vague.

Online – Everything that communicates or uses data is connected to the net or will be (to be simplistic). Why, then, is ‘online’ a separate concept? It’s a utility, a place of living and business, the fabric that connects the modern world, what we ‘do’. If a company has an online group, does it have an offline group? Online should be part of all groups. Online isn’t a separate biz function, but an underlying connector.

You can review all my previous ‘Tired Words’ here on this page.

Tired words: Community

The upsurge of the careless use of this word has me spinning.

Community – Same as innovation. It’s something you see after, rather than can craft before. A bunch of people do not make a community. Example: Myspace is not a community any more than New York City is. Myspace is a huge collection of very small and intimate communties, much like New York is about communities based on neighbourhoods, shool groups, co-workers, extended families, etc. Communities form on their own and cannot be created like Athena out of our brain. Maybe it’s the attempt to create communities by fiat that annoys me.

You can review all my previous ‘Tired Words’ here on this page.

Scott Rafer on Collaborative Intelligence

Scott made a comment earlier about Artificial Intelligence, stating basically that the optimistic Singularitarians are mixing up simple (‘Weak’) AI versus (seemingly) complex (‘Strong’) AI, and the potential of Strong AI in software actually happening to propel them to their Rapture of Singularity.*

Scott linked to some thinking he has (see quote below) that I agree will be where we truly get Strong AI like activity – from the Web itself.

Scott mentions aggregation of ‘online gestures’ and ‘collaborative intelligence’. Others have also called it the ‘lazy Web’ – asking a question to a community of real people (not some search robot) that then returns the relevant answer.

Current aggregation of online gestures seems to be still more explicit, requiring a explicit connection to those gestures or some sort of explicit reading of the outcome, say joining the right community or following it via RSS.

I think what Scott is getting at is how to easily link that collective intelligence in a much simpler way, in a way that it happens without any explicit work having to be done, and, of course, he, too, sees mobile tools in the equation.

Yes, I think part of the next wave of the Internet (not to hype, but I feel it’s already started, the current wave already being quotidian) will have this collective intelligence more integrated into our lifestyle than it is today.

Link: Scott Rafer at WINKsite � Blog Archive � My Entire AC2005 Presentation in 7 Words.

I’m committed to working with two startups right now, and there’s a tagging-related company that I might start. All three are working to sum up online gestures in new ways to serve us all better. For Wireless Ink, it’s the gestures of mobile web users. Dave and I think that we can make the mobile web transparent to broadband Internet users in ways it never has been and needs to be. At Delight, it’s the gestures of women, assembled in savvier ways than I’ve seen elsewhere. The Collaborative Intelligence of mobile web users and women will teach us all a lot.

*Scott sorry for being so slow to respond. I wanted to think a bit more about what you said.

When will some measurements become useless or need new names?

Geez, I’ve been contrarian lately. Maybe it’s because I am working with great folks who question everything (they call it the ‘three whys’ – keep asking ‘why’ and if it survives three, then it must have some solid footing). Maybe it’s because I’ve been trying to stretch my mind into the far future and realizing that some measurements we have today will either become useless or need new names.*

Think about it:

We talk about computers in terms of processor speed (in Hertz, xHz) or memory size (in bytes, xb) or bandwidth (in bits per second, bps). Such measurements have reached the giga (10^9) level. And there is talk of storage (in big data centers) in the tera and peta level (10^12 and 10^15, respectively).

Already the talk of processor speed is starting to be meaningless, not necessarily due to the speed going past gigahertz, but because processors are splitting into multiple cores and such.

With storage and memory, it’s quite clear that in a few years we’ll have to learn new Greek terms for numbers over peta, such as exa.

In any case, in our lifetimes, and I mean soon, we’re going to have to establish a new measurement to convey the storage and speed of a computing device.

My wish, though, is that we stop caring. Hence ‘computer’ being a Tired Word for me.

Do you know what the speed and storage is in your car? I don’t, but I am sure it’s been going up in newer models. And I don’t care, so long as I can do what I want to do with it.

Same should be with computing devices. Just let me know that the apps and services I want can run on it and that I won’t run up against any unreasonable barrier.

Really, are these thing differentiating factors anymore for laptops? Will there ever be time we just buy the device based on what it can do rather than guessing what it can do based on a few parameters that are already over-serving the regular user?

Thinking of mobile devices, I don’t think I have ever known the processor speed of my phone and I don’t even know if it’s a valid measurement (and, of course, I don’t care). I do know which phones are faster than others (and, no, it doesn’t follow that newer phones are necessarily faster than older phones, and no reason it should). And storage is rapidly becoming over-abundant, at least for the things I currently do and can do with my mobile device. And that’s with a gigabyte memory card. Soon a gigabyte on a mobile device will be passé.

What do you think? Or do I just have my head in the clouds.

In a bit, I’ll tell you about an article I read that kicked off this and other trains of thought.

*So flippin’ off-topic, you’re gonna boot me out of your feed-reader: If you really want to get geeked out, I’ve been trying to think of a post-electronic age. Being a bio-geek at heart, I’ve been thinking of how one would convey the ‘doing’ power of a biologically based product. Biological systems could probably be programmed via DNA, where ‘lines of code’ are, at some level, are measured in base-pairs or coding units, called genes. But, due to the recursive and code-reuse ability of biological systems, and as we’ve discovered through the various genome projects, size of genome does not necessarily equate linearly with complexity of organism. So, I was thinking of some complexity measure that takes into account the amount of base-pairs, genes, functional units (such as proteins, functional RNA, mutli-part molecules), and cell and tissue types. Heh. I guess I’m off my rocker.


Tired words: Computer

Another big name I am struggling with.

Computer – Another term that no longer seems to fit the bill.

Computers (as in laptop and desktop computers) no longer compute. They are appliances that do things that were once reserved for other machines. For example, we watch video, listen to music, browse text, send messages. No longer does the computer sit waiting for our command to crank something out (that is, compute) – we just use it to handle our media.

On the flip side, applicances have become like computers, that is, they have programmable chips embedded. I don’t call my car a computer, or my VCR, or my microwave, though I can program them or interact with them in a post-mechanical way.

Should I call my phone a computer? It sure is acting like one (in all descriptions above), but the name doesn’t really fit anymore.

You can review all my previous ‘Tired Words’ here on this page.

Flat rate billing – be careful what you wish for

Today I gave a talk for alumni from the Copenhagen Business School (tickled pink to be invited).

I spoke about three topics that are near and dear to me:

  1. The growth of the Mobile Lifestyle – how service providers need to understand how folks use mobile phones in their life, rather than just porting experiences from the broadband PC world.
  2. The rise of the emerging markets – what a billion new subscribers in the next year or so mean to local and global commerce and society.
  3. The fusion of the Web and mobile world – how we can bring the innovativeness of the open Web to the mobile world, along the way teaching operators how to find other areas of value.

I kept the talk informal and there was a good discussion during and after. The one thing that still is bouncing around my brain was a comment from a CEO from a giant electronics firm. He tied two of my threads together: the push for more flat rate pricing and the use of pre-pay minutes as the basis for an informal economy in emerging markets.

He asked what will happen if we go all flat rate pricing, how will folks use minutes as a currency then?

Good question.

It would certainly remove a central role of the mobile in the informal economy and remittances of the developing world. But, we must also keep in mind that even in really mature markets, pre-pay subscriptions are still significant (I think it’s like 50% in the UK). So, while we should be careful what we wish for, I don’t think we should think of the consequences in today’s terms. In future, there will be other things that will make this worry minor.

Tired words: Internet

I suppose you could say today’s word is a hard one to be tired of. But, I think it’s just that I belong to the last generation of the non-natives who live this hyperconnected life as much as a non-native can.

Internet – Sigh. I wonder if in the late 19th century, everything was about telegraph still or was it finally accepted by then. When will be stop talking about the ‘Internet’ as much as we’ve stopped talking about the phone network, the telegraph network, the electricity network? When does the Internet stop being a place and we start talking about what we do in terms of verbs. I am pretty sure my kids will have no separate concept of what the Internet is.

You can review all my previous ‘Tired Words’ here on this page.